Development and validation of a predictive model for differentiating Acute Aortic Dissection from Myocardial Infarction


Abstract

Background: Acute aortic dissection (AAD) and acute myocardial infarction (AMI) typically present with acute chest pain, posing significant challenges for their clinical differentiation. Misdiagnosis can lead to severe and fatal outcomes. Although coronary and aortic angiography are the gold standards for diagnosis, their routine application in emergency triage is impractical and associated with significant risk. Therefore, this study aimed to develop a noninvasive, rapid diagnostic model to circumvent the limitations of gold-standard methods in early differentiation, thereby providing a safe and effective tool for emergency decision-making.

Methods: We retrospectively collected laboratory data from patients diagnosed with AAD or acute myocardial infarction (AMI). A diagnostic model was developed using univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses, followed by a comprehensive evaluation and validation.

Results: Glomerular filtration rate (GFR), lymphocyte count (LYM), creatinine (Crea), and AST/ALT ratio were identified as independent predictors for distinguishing AAD from acute myocardial infarction (AMI). A nomogram incorporating these four indicators demonstrated excellent discriminative ability, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.859 (95% CI: 0.818–0.899) in the training set and 0.854 (95% CI: 0.790–0.917) in the validation set.

Conclusion: The four-variable nomogram model based on GFR, LYM, Crea, and AST/ALT ratio proved to be a robust and validated tool, offering a reliable, noninvasive method for the differential diagnosis of AAD and AMI in emergency settings.

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