Birds in estuaries can act as indicators of climate change: a study at a key wintering site for waterbirds in Europe

Department of Vertebrate Zoology and Anthropology, Institute for Research on Biodiversity, Faculty of Biology, University of Szczecin, Szczecin, Poland
West- Pomeranian Nature Society, Szczecin, Polska
Hydrography and Water Management Unit, Faculty of Earth Science, University of Szczecin, Szczecin, Poland
DOI
10.7287/peerj.preprints.2652v1
Subject Areas
Ecology, Ecosystem Science, Zoology
Keywords
winter range shift, ice coverage sensitivity, Greater Scaup, Common Pochard, Tufted Duck, Eurasian Coot, Smew, important bird areas, behavior, Baltic Sea
Copyright
© 2016 Marchowski et al.
Licence
This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, reproduction and adaptation in any medium and for any purpose provided that it is properly attributed. For attribution, the original author(s), title, publication source (PeerJ Preprints) and either DOI or URL of the article must be cited.
Cite this article
Marchowski D, Jankowiak Ł, Wysocki D, Ławicki Ł, Girjatowicz J. 2016. Birds in estuaries can act as indicators of climate change: a study at a key wintering site for waterbirds in Europe. PeerJ Preprints 4:e2652v1

Abstract

Climate change can shift the winter range of many species and birds can act as indicators of this process. Estuaries of large rivers are places where different waterbirds winter with each species reflecting their own behavior and sensitivity to weather changes. Knowing these behaviors and tracking long-term changes in the number of birds, we can confirm the direction of climate change. One estuary of key importance for wintering waterfowl is the Odra River Estuary situated in the south-western part of the Baltic Sea. The most numerous birds here belong to two groups: benthic feeders and fish feeders. We show that numbers of all benthivorous waterbirds were negatively correlated with the presence of ice, but for piscivorous there was no relationship. We anticipate that with continued global warming the importance of this area for benthic feeders will increase, but will decrease for fish feeders. Among the seven species of benthivorous birds we studied, one showed an increase in numbers (Greater Scaup Aythya marila), two were stable (Tufted Duck A. fuligula and Eurasian Coot Fulica atra) and two decreased (Common Pochard A. ferina and Common Goldeneye Bucephala clangula); among the piscivorous group two species (Smew Mergellus albellus and Goosander Mergus merganser) showed a decline. The decline of the Common Pochard may reflect that species global decline. Climate change may be responsible for some of the local changes in the study area, namely the increase in the number of Greater Scaup and reduction in the numbers of Common Goldeneye, Smew and Goosander.

Author Comment

This is a submission to PeerJ for review.

Supplemental Information

Raw data set. Numbers of birds from seven waterbirds species and number of days with 100% ice cover in the period from 0 to 15 days prior to the count day

DOI: 10.7287/peerj.preprints.2652v1/supp-1