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2025
Beyond single-species models: leveraging multispecies forecasts to navigate the dynamics of ecological predictability
PeerJ
2025
Contrasting Species Distribution Model Predictability Under Novel Temperature Conditions
Diversity and Distributions
2025
Revealing driver-mediated indirect interactions between ecosystem services using Bayesian Belief Networks
Ecosystem Services
2025
Biodiversity forecasting in natural plankton communities reveals temperature and biotic interactions as key predictors
Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences
2025
Evaluating the utility of hyperspectral data to monitor local-scale β-diversity across space and time
Remote Sensing of Environment
2025
Correction to “A cloudy forecast for species distribution models: Predictive uncertainties abound for California birds after a century of climate and land‐use change”
Global Change Biology
2025
What can we learn from 100,000 freshwater forecasts? A synthesis from the NEON Ecological Forecasting Challenge
Ecological Applications
2025
Reviewing and benchmarking ecological modelling practices in the context of land use
Ecography
2025
Exploring the association between temperature and multiple ecomorphological traits of biocalcifiers (Brachiopoda)
Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology
2024
Ecological forecasts of insect range dynamics: a broad range of taxa includes winners and losers under future climate
Current Opinion in Insect Science
2024
Predicting the responses of European grassland communities to climate and land cover change
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences
2024
Transferability of ecological forecasting models to novel biotic conditions in a long‐term experimental study
Ecology
2024
Modelling nonlinear responses of a desert rodent species to environmental change with hierarchical dynamic generalized additive models
Ecological Modelling
2024
Temporal changes in the individual size distribution modulate the long‐term trends of biomass and energy use of North American breeding bird communities
Global Ecology and Biogeography
2024
A systematic review and guide for using multi-response statistical models in co-infection research
Royal Society Open Science
2024
Plant phenology predicts the stability of primary production in three ecosystems of the northern Chihuahuan Desert
Functional Ecology
2024
Data assimilation experiments inform monitoring needs for near‐term ecological forecasts in a eutrophic reservoir
Ecosphere
2024
A cloudy forecast for species distribution models: Predictive uncertainties abound for California birds after a century of climate and land‐use change
Global Change Biology
2023
Can Plot-Level Photographs Accurately Estimate Tundra Vegetation Cover in Northern Alaska?
Remote Sensing
2023
Ecological Forecasting and Dynamics: A graduate course on the fundamentals of time series and forecasting in ecology
Journal of Open Source Education
2023
Cyberinfrastructure for sourcing and processing ecological data
Ecological Informatics
2023
Machine learning and deep learning—A review for ecologists
Methods in Ecology and Evolution
2023
Progress and opportunities in advancing near‐term forecasting of freshwater quality
Global Change Biology
2023
Species distributions models may predict accurately future distributions but poorly how distributions change: A critical perspective on model validation
Diversity and Distributions
2022
North American Breeding Bird Survey underestimates regional bird richness compared to Breeding Bird Atlases
Ecosphere
2022
Near‐term phytoplankton forecasts reveal the effects of model time step and forecast horizon on predictability
Ecological Applications
2022
Increasing climatic decoupling of bird abundances and distributions
Nature Ecology & Evolution
2022
Predictive performance of presence‐only species distribution models: a benchmark study with reproducible code
Ecological Monographs
2022
Grappling with uncertainty in ecological projections: a case study using the migratory monarch butterfly
Ecosphere
2022
Ecological traits underlying interspecific variation in climate matching of birds
Global Ecology and Biogeography
2022
Increased adoption of best practices in ecological forecasting enables comparisons of forecastability
Ecological Applications
2022
Advancing lake and reservoir water quality management with near-term, iterative ecological forecasting
Inland Waters
2021
Iterative Forecasting Improves Near-Term Predictions of Methane Ebullition Rates
Frontiers in Environmental Science
2021
A practical guide to selecting models for exploration, inference, and prediction in ecology
Ecology
2021
Ecological forecasts reveal limitations of common model selection methods: predicting changes in beaver colony densities
Ecological Applications
2021
Declines in rodent abundance and diversity track regional climate variability in North American drylands
Global Change Biology
2021
Iteratively forecasting biological invasions with PoPS and a little help from our friends
Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment
2021
Advancing estuarine ecological forecasts: seasonal hypoxia in Chesapeake Bay
Ecological Applications
2021
Modelling the biodiversity enhancement value of seagrass beds
Diversity and Distributions
2020
The cost of complexity in forecasts of population abundances is reduced but not eliminated by borrowing information across space using a hierarchical approach
Oikos
2020
Matching the forecast horizon with the relevant spatial and temporal processes and data sources
Ecography
2020
A comparison of macroecological and stacked species distribution models to predict future global terrestrial vertebrate richness
Journal of Biogeography
2020
Landscape-wide changes in land use and land cover correlate with, but rarely explain local biodiversity change
Landscape Ecology
2020
Mitochondrial phylogeography of the genus Eremophila confirms underestimated species diversity in the Palearctic
Journal of Ornithology
2020
What processes must we understand to forecast regional-scale population dynamics?
Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences
2020
You must choose, but choose wisely: Model-based approaches for microbial community analysis
Soil Biology and Biochemistry
2019
Developing an automated iterative near‐term forecasting system for an ecological study
Methods in Ecology and Evolution
2019
A comprehensive evaluation of predictive performance of 33 species distribution models at species and community levels
Ecological Monographs
2019
Pollinator size and its consequences: Robust estimates of body size in pollinating insects
Ecology and Evolution
2018
A mid‐century ecological forecast with partitioned uncertainty predicts increases in loblolly pine forest productivity
Ecological Applications
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